Shane Vereen
RB, California · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #56 (NWE)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #97 (#9 at his position); he went #56, 41 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
California: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.49 40-yard dash at 210 lbs: faster than 62% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 79 of ~112 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2017 (~71%). Last NFL season: 2017.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 79 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 25 |
| Passing | undefined/1, 0 yds, undefined TD, 1 INT |
| Rushing | 356 att, 1,489 yds, 8 TD |
| Receiving | 221 rec, 1,864 yds, 11 TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2017 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 210 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.49 s |
| Bench press | 31 reps |
| Vertical | 34" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 6.95 s |
| Shuttle | 4.28 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.2" / 9.3" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #97 overall (#9 RB) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 53 | Stephen Paea | redraft #77 |
| 54 | Jaiquawn Jarrett | redraft #143 |
| 55 | Rodney Hudson | redraft #22 |
| 57 | Mikel Leshoure | redraft #135 |
| 58 | Torrey Smith | redraft #38 |
| 59 | Greg Little | redraft #93 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.