Robert Woods
WR, USC · 2013 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #41 (BUF)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 171 of ~196 possible regular-season games from 2013 through 2024 (~87%). Last NFL season: 2024.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #32 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#41). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
USC: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.51 40-yard dash at 201 lbs: faster than 33% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 171 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 10 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 59 |
| Rushing | 75 att, 514 yds, 5 TD |
| Receiving | 683 rec, 8,233 yds, 38 TD |
| Defense | 7 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2024 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 201 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.51 s |
| Bench press | 14 reps |
| Vertical | 33.5" |
| Broad jump | 117" |
| 3-cone | 7.15 s |
| Shuttle | 4.47 s |
| Arm / hand | 31" / 9.2" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #32 overall (#4 WR) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 38 | Manti Te'o | redraft #77 |
| 39 | Geno Smith | redraft #16 |
| 40 | Tank Carradine | redraft #139 |
| 42 | Menelik Watson | redraft #125 |
| 43 | Johnthan Banks | redraft #111 |
| 44 | Kawann Short | redraft #31 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.