Pat O'Donnell
P, Miami (FL) · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #191 (CHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position. Details below.
- Position
P (ST group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68% of the time (97 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #289 (#1 at his position); he went #191, 98 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (896 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Miami (FL): a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.64 40-yard dash at 220 lbs: faster than 89% of STs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 158 of ~197 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2025 (~80%).
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 158 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 18 |
| Passing | 1/1, 38 yds, 1 TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 1 att, -12 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 7 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2025 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position ST | 68.0% n=97 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 32+ picks before ESPN's rank | 48.9% n=896 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 220 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.64 s |
| Bench press | 23 reps |
| Vertical | 30.5" |
| Broad jump | 120" |
| Arm / hand | 32.4" / 9.6" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #289 overall (#1 P) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 188 | E.J. Gaines | redraft #104 |
| 189 | T.J. Jones | redraft #130 |
| 190 | Matt Hazel | redraft #211 |
| 192 | Jordan Zumwalt | redraft #238 |
| 193 | Zach Fulton | redraft #36 |
| 194 | Keith Wenning | redraft #239 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.