Matt Hazel
WR, Coastal Carolina · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #190 (MIA)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 9 of ~64 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2017 (~14%). Last NFL season: 2017.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #211 (#31 at his position), close to where he went (#190).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Coastal Carolina: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.50 40-yard dash at 198 lbs: faster than 37% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 9 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 1 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2017 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 198 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.50 s |
| Bench press | 15 reps |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 118" |
| 3-cone | 7.08 s |
| Shuttle | 4.2 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.3" / 9.1" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #211 overall (#31 WR) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 187 | Bennett Jackson | redraft #208 |
| 188 | E.J. Gaines | redraft #104 |
| 189 | T.J. Jones | redraft #130 |
| 191 | Pat O'Donnell | redraft #84 |
| 192 | Jordan Zumwalt | redraft #238 |
| 193 | Zach Fulton | redraft #36 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.