Mike Iupati
G, Idaho · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #17 (SFO)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position. Details below.
- Position
G (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #20 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Idaho: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.24 40-yard dash at 331 lbs: faster than 43% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 140 of ~176 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2020 (~80%). Last NFL season: 2020.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 140 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 10 |
| Pro Bowls | 4 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 67 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 10 yds, undefined TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 331 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.24 s |
| Bench press | 27 reps |
| Vertical | 27.5" |
| Broad jump | 92" |
| 3-cone | 7.85 s |
| Shuttle | 4.93 s |
| Arm / hand | 34.7" / 10.6" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #20 overall (#1 G) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 14 | Earl Thomas | redraft #5 |
| 15 | Jason Pierre-Paul | redraft #8 |
| 16 | Derrick Morgan | redraft #41 |
| 18 | Maurkice Pouncey | redraft #6 |
| 19 | Sean Weatherspoon | redraft #73 |
| 20 | Kareem Jackson | redraft #29 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.