Maurkice Pouncey
C, Florida · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #18 (PIT)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, position. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #18 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#18). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Florida: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.25 40-yard dash at 304 lbs: faster than 41% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 134 of ~176 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2020 (~76%). Last NFL season: 2020.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 134 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 9 |
| Pro Bowls | 9 |
| First-team All-Pro | 2 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 78 |
| Receiving | 1 rec, 0 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 304 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.25 s |
| Broad jump | 95" |
| 3-cone | 7.74 s |
| Shuttle | 4.92 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.4" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #18 overall (#1 C) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 15 | Jason Pierre-Paul | redraft #8 |
| 16 | Derrick Morgan | redraft #41 |
| 17 | Mike Iupati | redraft #18 |
| 19 | Sean Weatherspoon | redraft #73 |
| 20 | Kareem Jackson | redraft #29 |
| 21 | Jermaine Gresham | redraft #64 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.