Michael Jenkins
WR, Ohio St. · 2004 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #29 (ATL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 130 of ~144 possible regular-season games from 2004 through 2012 (~90%). Last NFL season: 2012.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #28 (#7 at his position), close to where he went (#29).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Ohio St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.40 40-yard dash at 218 lbs: faster than 77% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 130 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 6 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 39 |
| Rushing | 2 att, 4 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 354 rec, 4,427 yds, 25 TD |
| Defense | 8 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2012 |
The 2004 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2004 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 218 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.40 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #28 overall (#7 WR) |
Picked around him 2004 redraft
| 26 | Chris Perry | redraft #109 |
| 27 | Jason Babin | redraft #28 |
| 28 | Chris Gamble | redraft #31 |
| 30 | Kevin Jones | redraft #67 |
| 31 | Rashaun Woods | redraft #184 |
| 32 | Ben Watson | redraft #35 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.