Martavis Bryant
WR, Clemson · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #118 (PIT)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #66 overall (#12 at his position), but he lasted until pick #118: teams let him slide 52 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Clemson: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 211 lbs: faster than 69% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 44 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2018 (~55%). Last NFL season: 2018.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 44 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 19 |
| Rushing | 17 att, 94 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 145 rec, 2,183 yds, 17 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2018 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 211 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.42 s |
| Bench press | 16 reps |
| Vertical | 39" |
| Broad jump | 124" |
| 3-cone | 7.18 s |
| Shuttle | 4.15 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.5" / 9.4" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #66 overall (#12 WR) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 115 | Shaquelle Evans | redraft #229 |
| 116 | Keith McGill | redraft #151 |
| 117 | Ka'Deem Carey | redraft #164 |
| 119 | Anthony Hitchens | redraft #33 |
| 120 | Logan Thomas | redraft #95 |
| 121 | Carl Bradford | redraft #215 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.