Mark Andrews
TE, Oklahoma · 2018 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #86 (BAL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 120 of ~133 possible regular-season games from 2018 through 2025 (~90%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #80 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#86). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Oklahoma: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.67 40-yard dash at 256 lbs: faster than 67% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 127 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 4 |
| Pro Bowls | 3 |
| First-team All-Pro | 1 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 51 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 2 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 53.0 |
| Rushing | 19 att, 61 yds, 1 TD |
| Receiving | 507 rec, 6,133 yds, 57 TD |
| Defense | 5 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 256 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.67 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 31" |
| Broad jump | 113" |
| 3-cone | 7.34 s |
| Shuttle | 4.38 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.5" / 9.5" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #80 overall (#4 TE) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 83 | Orlando Brown Jr. | redraft #7 |
| 84 | Justin Jones | redraft #65 |
| 85 | Rashaan Gaulden | redraft #209 |
| 87 | Arden Key | redraft #76 |
| 88 | Oren Burks | redraft #106 |
| 89 | Joseph Noteboom | redraft #99 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.