Larry Webster
DE, Bloomsburg · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 4, pick #136 (DET)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 1 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2016 (~2%). Last NFL season: 2016.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #161 (#15 at his position), close to where he went (#136).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Bloomsburg: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.58 40-yard dash at 252 lbs: faster than 95% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 1 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2016 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 252 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.58 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 36.5" |
| Broad jump | 123" |
| 3-cone | 7.29 s |
| Shuttle | 4.44 s |
| Arm / hand | 33.4" / 10.1" |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #161 overall (#15 DE) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 133 | Nevin Lawson | redraft #76 |
| 134 | Brent Urban | redraft #68 |
| 135 | Tom Savage | redraft #167 |
| 137 | Dakota Dozier | redraft #107 |
| 138 | Lorenzo Taliaferro | redraft #166 |
| 139 | Prince Shembo | redraft #181 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.