Kyle Dugger
S, Lenoir-Rhyne · 2020 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #37 (NWE)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 89 of ~101 possible regular-season games from 2020 through 2025 (~88%). Plus 4 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #65 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#37).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 44.9% of the time (548 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Lenoir-Rhyne: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.49 40-yard dash at 217 lbs: faster than 48% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
S (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 93 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 5 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 28 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.4 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 28.4 |
| Defense | 323 tackles, 4.5 sacks, 11 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2020 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2020 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 24 or older | 44.9% n=548 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 217 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.49 s |
| Bench press | 17 reps |
| Vertical | 42" |
| Broad jump | 134" |
| Arm / hand | 33.13" / 10.38" |
| Age at draft | 24 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #65 overall (#5 S) |
Picked around him 2020 redraft
| 34 | Michael Pittman Jr. | redraft #15 |
| 35 | D'Andre Swift | redraft #10 |
| 36 | Xavier McKinney | redraft #17 |
| 38 | Yetur Gross-Matos | redraft #83 |
| 39 | Robert Hunt | redraft #35 |
| 40 | Ross Blacklock | redraft #172 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.