D'Andre Swift
RB, Georgia · 2020 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #35 (DET)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 88 of ~101 possible regular-season games from 2020 through 2025 (~87%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #18 (#1 at his position), close to where he went (#35). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Georgia: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.48 40-yard dash at 212 lbs: faster than 65% of RBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
RB (RB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 46.1% of the time (501 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 95 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 1 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 44 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1.9 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 45.9 |
| Passing | undefined/1, 0 yds, undefined TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 1163 att, 5,173 yds, 44 TD |
| Receiving | 289 rec, 2,237 yds, 9 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2020 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2020 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position RB | 46.1% n=501 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 8", 212 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.48 s |
| Vertical | 35.5" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| Arm / hand | 29.88" / 9" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #18 overall (#1 RB) |
Picked around him 2020 redraft
| 32 | Clyde Edwards-Helaire | redraft #81 |
| 33 | Tee Higgins | redraft #13 |
| 34 | Michael Pittman Jr. | redraft #15 |
| 36 | Xavier McKinney | redraft #17 |
| 37 | Kyle Dugger | redraft #47 |
| 38 | Yetur Gross-Matos | redraft #83 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.