Kendall Wright
WR, Baylor · 2012 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #20 (TEN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position. Details below.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #28 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Baylor: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.49 40-yard dash at 196 lbs: faster than 41% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 82 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2012 through 2017 (~85%). Last NFL season: 2017.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 82 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 3 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 28 |
| Rushing | 11 att, 90 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 339 rec, 3,858 yds, 19 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2017 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 196 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.49 s |
| Vertical | 38.5" |
| Broad jump | 121" |
| 3-cone | 6.93 s |
| Shuttle | 4.18 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.4" / 8.5" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #28 overall (#4 WR) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 17 | Dre Kirkpatrick | redraft #55 |
| 18 | Melvin Ingram | redraft #23 |
| 19 | Shea McClellin | redraft #89 |
| 21 | Chandler Jones | redraft #9 |
| 22 | Brandon Weeden | redraft #102 |
| 23 | Riley Reiff | redraft #18 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.