Jason Worilds
DE, Virginia Tech · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #52 (PIT)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 73 of ~80 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2014 (~91%). Last NFL season: 2014.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #74 (#9 at his position), close to where he went (#52).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Virginia Tech: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.65 40-yard dash at 254 lbs: faster than 90% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DE (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 73 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 2 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 22 |
| Defense | 144 tackles, 25.5 sacks, 1 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2014 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 1", 254 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.65 s |
| Bench press | 24 reps |
| Vertical | 38" |
| Broad jump | 114" |
| 3-cone | 6.95 s |
| Shuttle | 4.29 s |
| Arm / hand | 32.7" / 9.25" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #74 overall (#9 DE) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 49 | Taylor Mays | redraft #123 |
| 50 | Javier Arenas | redraft #121 |
| 51 | Toby Gerhart | redraft #94 |
| 53 | Jermaine Cunningham | redraft #129 |
| 54 | Carlos Dunlap | redraft #17 |
| 55 | Sean Lee | redraft #27 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.