Gabe Jackson
G, Mississippi St. · 2014 NFL Draft, Round 3, pick #81 (OAK)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: position. Details below.
- Position
G (OL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 59.3% of the time (919 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #73 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#81). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (2,127 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Mississippi St.: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.34 40-yard dash at 336 lbs: faster than 20% of OLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 136 of ~163 possible regular-season games from 2014 through 2023 (~83%). Last NFL season: 2023.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 136 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 9 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 47 |
| Receiving | 2 rec, -5 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2023 |
The 2014 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2014 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position OL | 59.3% n=919 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| Age 23 | 50.4% n=2,127 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 336 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.34 s |
| Bench press | 30 reps |
| Vertical | 29" |
| Broad jump | 108" |
| 3-cone | 8.25 s |
| Shuttle | 4.78 s |
| Arm / hand | 33.6" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 23 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #73 overall (#3 G) |
Picked around him 2014 redraft
| 78 | Spencer Long | redraft #77 |
| 79 | Terrence Brooks | redraft #128 |
| 80 | Dexter McDougle | redraft #185 |
| 82 | Will Sutton | redraft #124 |
| 83 | Louis Nix | redraft #221 |
| 84 | Kareem Martin | redraft #109 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.