Dontari Poe
DT, Memphis · 2012 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #11 (KAN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 128 of ~144 possible regular-season games from 2012 through 2020 (~89%). Last NFL season: 2020.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #20 (#3 at his position), close to where he went (#11).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Memphis: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.89 40-yard dash at 346 lbs: faster than 53% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 128 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 8 |
| Pro Bowls | 2 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 55 |
| Passing | 1/1, 2 yds, 1 TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 2 att, 2 yds, 2 TD |
| Defense | 205 tackles, 20.5 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2020 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 346 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.89 s |
| Bench press | 44 reps |
| Vertical | 29.5" |
| Broad jump | 105" |
| 3-cone | 7.9 s |
| Shuttle | 4.56 s |
| Arm / hand | 32" / 9.5" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #20 overall (#3 DT) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 8 | Ryan Tannehill | redraft #8 |
| 9 | Luke Kuechly | redraft #7 |
| 10 | Stephon Gilmore | redraft #10 |
| 12 | Fletcher Cox | redraft #5 |
| 13 | Michael Floyd | redraft #61 |
| 14 | Michael Brockers | redraft #20 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.