Davis Allen
TE, Clemson · 2023 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #175 (LAR)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
The 2023 class is only 3 seasons in, so this verdict can still change a lot.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 46 of ~51 possible regular-season games from 2023 through 2025 (~90%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #155 (#12 at his position), close to where he went (#175).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Clemson: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.84 40-yard dash at 245 lbs: faster than 16% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 53 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 3 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1.6 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 4.6 |
| Rushing | 1 att, 0 yds, undefined TD |
| Receiving | 46 rec, 405 yds, 4 TD |
| Defense | 1 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2023 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2023 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 245 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.84 s |
| Vertical | 38.5" |
| Broad jump | 125" |
| Arm / hand | 32.25" / 10" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #155 overall (#12 TE) |
Picked around him 2023 redraft
| 172 | Eric Gray | redraft #201 |
| 173 | Robert Beal | redraft #181 |
| 174 | Warren McClendon | redraft #73 |
| 176 | Evan Hull | redraft #235 |
| 177 | Puka Nacua | redraft #2 |
| 178 | Eric Scott | redraft #254 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.