D.J. Moore
WR, Maryland · 2018 NFL Draft, Round 1, pick #24 (CAR)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 131 of ~133 possible regular-season games from 2018 through 2025 (~98%). Plus 4 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #22 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#24). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Maryland: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.42 40-yard dash at 210 lbs: faster than 69% of WRs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
WR (WR group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 40.4% of the time (718 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 135 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 8 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 61 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 0.9 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 61.9 |
| Passing | 1/3, 2 yds, 1 TD, undefined INT |
| Rushing | 74 att, 515 yds, 2 TD |
| Receiving | 620 rec, 8,391 yds, 42 TD |
| Defense | 4 tackles, 0 sacks, 0 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2018 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2018 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position WR | 40.4% n=718 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 0", 210 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.42 s |
| Bench press | 15 reps |
| Vertical | 39.5" |
| Broad jump | 132" |
| 3-cone | 6.95 s |
| Shuttle | 4.07 s |
| Arm / hand | 31.63" / 9" |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #22 overall (#2 WR) |
Picked around him 2018 redraft
| 21 | Billy Price | redraft #101 |
| 22 | Rashaan Evans | redraft #58 |
| 23 | Isaiah Wynn | redraft #82 |
| 25 | Hayden Hurst | redraft #105 |
| 26 | Calvin Ridley | redraft #33 |
| 27 | Rashaad Penny | redraft #121 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.