Chris Houston
DB, Arkansas · 2007 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #41 (ATL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 99 of ~112 possible regular-season games from 2007 through 2013 (~88%). Last NFL season: 2013.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #32 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#41).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Arkansas: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.32 40-yard dash at 185 lbs: faster than 97% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 99 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 7 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 32 |
| Defense | 324 tackles, 0 sacks, 13 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2013 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 10", 185 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.32 s |
| Bench press | 27 reps |
| Vertical | 36" |
| Broad jump | 122" |
| 3-cone | 6.94 s |
| Shuttle | 4.12 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #32 overall (#4 DB) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 38 | Zach Miller | redraft #54 |
| 39 | Justin Blalock | redraft #19 |
| 40 | John Beck | redraft #155 |
| 42 | Tony Ugoh | redraft #79 |
| 43 | Drew Stanton | redraft #118 |
| 44 | Sidney Rice | redraft #47 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.