Buster Skrine
DB, Chattanooga · 2011 NFL Draft, Round 5, pick #137 (CLE)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 158 of ~177 possible regular-season games from 2011 through 2021 (~89%). Last NFL season: 2021.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #107 (#16 at his position), close to where he went (#137). The whole market, not just his team, missed on him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Chattanooga: not a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (1,426 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.37 40-yard dash at 186 lbs: faster than 90% of DBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.6% of the time (973 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DB (DB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.7% of the time (1,116 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 158 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 4 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 35 |
| Defense | 491 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 10 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2021 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Non-Power school (Group of 5 / FCS / smaller) | 50.5% n=1,426 | |
| Athletic testing Top 25% at his position | 51.6% n=973 | |
| Position DB | 50.7% n=1,116 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 5' 9", 186 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.37 s |
| Bench press | 20 reps |
| Vertical | 37" |
| Broad jump | 122" |
| 3-cone | 6.44 s |
| Shuttle | 3.9 s |
| Arm / hand | 30.2" / 8.699" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #107 overall (#16 DB) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 134 | Robert Sands | redraft #230 |
| 135 | Ricky Stanzi | redraft #231 |
| 136 | Anthony Sherman | redraft #142 |
| 138 | Marcus Cannon | redraft #33 |
| 139 | Brandon Burton | redraft #193 |
| 140 | Gabe Miller | redraft #216 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.