Brian Brohm
QB, Louisville · 2008 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #56 (GNB)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: position, availability. Details below.
- Position
QB (QB group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 35.6% of the time (270 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 3 of ~48 possible regular-season games from 2008 through 2010 (~6%). Last NFL season: 2010.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #21 overall (#2 at his position), but he lasted until pick #56: teams let him slide 35 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Louisville: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.81 40-yard dash at 230 lbs: faster than 48% of QBs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 3 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 0 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 0 |
| Passing | 27/52, 252 yds, undefined TD, 5 INT |
| Rushing | 3 att, -3 yds, undefined TD |
| Last NFL season | 2010 |
The 2008 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2008 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Position QB | 35.6% n=270 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 230 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.81 s |
| Vertical | 30" |
| Broad jump | 115" |
| 3-cone | 7.13 s |
| Shuttle | 4.55 s |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #21 overall (#2 QB) |
Picked around him 2008 redraft
| 53 | Limas Sweed | redraft #178 |
| 54 | Jason Jones | redraft #42 |
| 55 | Ray Rice | redraft #13 |
| 57 | Chad Henne | redraft #68 |
| 58 | Dexter Jackson | redraft #206 |
| 59 | Mike Pollak | redraft #66 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.