Anthony McCoy
TE, USC · 2010 NFL Draft, Round 6, pick #185 (SEA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, age. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #68 overall (#4 at his position), but he lasted until pick #185: teams let him slide 117 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (654 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.1% of the time (2,011 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
USC: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 4.71 40-yard dash at 259 lbs: faster than 55% of TEs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.5% of the time (2,288 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
TE (TE group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 37.1% of the time (321 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 41 of ~96 possible regular-season games from 2010 through 2015 (~43%). Last NFL season: 2015.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Games | 41 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 1 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 4 |
| Receiving | 31 rec, 437 yds, 3 TD |
| Last NFL season | 2015 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 32+ picks past ESPN's rank | 53.2% n=654 | |
| Age 22 | 56.1% n=2,011 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Middle 50% | 50.5% n=2,288 | |
| Position TE | 37.1% n=321 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 259 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 4.71 s |
| Bench press | 19 reps |
| Vertical | 35.5" |
| Broad jump | 113" |
| 3-cone | 6.99 s |
| Shuttle | 4.57 s |
| Arm / hand | 34" / 10.4" |
| Age at draft | 22 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #68 overall (#4 TE) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 182 | Nate Byham | redraft #211 |
| 183 | Eric Olsen | redraft #167 |
| 184 | Adrian Tracy | redraft #193 |
| 186 | Clifton Geathers | redraft #165 |
| 187 | Shelley Smith | redraft #139 |
| 188 | Jonathan Dwyer | redraft #130 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.