A'Shawn Robinson
DT, Alabama · 2016 NFL Draft, Round 2, pick #46 (DET)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: age, availability. Details below.
- Age
21 years old at the draft (nflverse).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.6% of the time (663 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 142 of ~165 possible regular-season games from 2016 through 2025 (~86%). Plus 7 games so far in 2026.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #36 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#46).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.6% of the time (2,104 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- School
Alabama: a Power-conference school (our conference list).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.3% of the time (4,181 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Athletic testing
Ran a 5.20 40-yard dash at 307 lbs: faster than 9% of DLs timed at the Combine since 2000.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (1,232 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
DT (DL group).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53% of the time (966 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: nflverse draft, combine and career data; ESPN's pre-draft ranks. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Games | 149 |
| Seasons as primary starter | 7 |
| Pro Bowls | 0 |
| First-team All-Pro | 0 |
| Career wAV (Pro Football Reference) | 40 |
| 2026 in-season credit (est.) | 1.5 |
| Redraft value (wAV + 2026) | 41.5 |
| Defense | 284 tackles, 16 sacks, 3 INT |
| Last NFL season | 2026 |
Career wAV via nflverse draft_picks + 2026 in-season credit from snap counts through Week 7.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Age 21 or younger | 56.6% n=663 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within a round of ESPN's rank | 50.6% n=2,104 | |
| School Power-conference school | 50.3% n=4,181 | |
| Athletic testing Bottom 25% at his position | 50.2% n=1,232 | |
| Position DL | 53.0% n=966 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 307 lbs |
| 40-yard dash | 5.20 s |
| Bench press | 22 reps |
| Vertical | 26" |
| Broad jump | 106" |
| 3-cone | 7.8 s |
| Shuttle | 4.74 s |
| Age at draft | 21 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #36 overall (#6 DT) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 43 | Austin Johnson | redraft #64 |
| 44 | Jihad Ward | redraft #73 |
| 45 | Derrick Henry | redraft #7 |
| 47 | Michael Thomas | redraft #17 |
| 48 | Jason Spriggs | redraft #127 |
| 49 | Jarran Reed | redraft #30 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 32+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.