Willie Warren
PG, Oklahoma · 2010 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #54 (LAC)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #42 overall (#4 at his position), but he lasted until pick #54: teams let him slide 12 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.7 years old on draft night (born 1989-10-22).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Oklahoma.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 6" at 6' 4" tall (+2.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 19 games over 1 NBA season (~23% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 19 |
| Minutes / game | 7.1 |
| Points / game | 1.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.6 |
| Assists / game | 1.4 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.2 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.7 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 208 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 6" |
| Age on draft night | 20.7 |
| Born | Fort Worth, TX |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #42 overall (#4 PG) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 51 | Magnum Rolle | redraft #58 |
| 52 | Luke Harangody | redraft #31 |
| 53 | Pape Sy | redraft #50 |
| 55 | Jeremy Evans | redraft #23 |
| 56 | Hamady N'Diaye | redraft #48 |
| 57 | Ryan Reid | redraft #41 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.