Vernon Macklin
PF, Florida · 2011 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #52 (DET)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #95 (#25 at his position); he went #52, 43 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24.8 years old on draft night (born 1986-09-20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Florida.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 4" at 6' 9" tall (+7.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 23 games over 1 NBA season (~28% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 23 |
| Minutes / game | 5.9 |
| Points / game | 2.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.5 |
| Assists / game | 0.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.5 |
| VORP | 0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.2 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 243 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 4" |
| Age on draft night | 24.8 |
| Born | Portsmouth, Va. |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #95 overall (#25 PF) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 49 | Josh Selby | redraft #50 |
| 50 | Lavoy Allen | redraft #28 |
| 51 | Jon Diebler | redraft #55 |
| 53 | DeAndre Liggins | redraft #39 |
| 54 | Milan Mačvan | redraft #56 |
| 55 | E'Twaun Moore | redraft #25 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.