Milan Mačvan
PF · 2011 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #54 (CLE)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #128 (#33 at his position); he went #54, 74 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Serbia.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Never played an NBA game.
- Age
21.6 years old on draft night (born 1989-11-16).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 0 |
| Games | 0 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 260 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.6 |
| Born | Serbia |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #128 overall (#33 PF) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 51 | Jon Diebler | redraft #55 |
| 52 | Vernon Macklin | redraft #41 |
| 53 | DeAndre Liggins | redraft #39 |
| 55 | E'Twaun Moore | redraft #25 |
| 56 | Chukwudiebere Maduabum | redraft #57 |
| 57 | Tanguy Ngombo | redraft #58 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.