Tony Mitchell
PF, University of North Texas · 2013 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #37 (DET)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 21 games over 1 NBA season (~26% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #31 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#37).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.2 years old on draft night (born 1992-04-07).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at University of North Texas.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 2.5" at 6' 9" tall (+5.5 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 21 |
| Minutes / game | 3.8 |
| Points / game | 1.0 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.2 |
| Assists / game | 0.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.2 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.4 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 236 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 2.5" |
| Age on draft night | 21.2 |
| Born | Dallas, TX |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #31 overall (#4 PF) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 34 | Isaiah Canaan | redraft #33 |
| 35 | Glen Rice Jr. | redraft #46 |
| 36 | Ray McCallum | redraft #35 |
| 38 | Nate Wolters | redraft #37 |
| 39 | Jeff Withey | redraft #27 |
| 40 | Grant Jerrett | redraft #43 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.