Jeff Withey
C, Kansas · 2013 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #39 (POR)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #32 (#8 at his position), close to where he went (#39).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.3 years old on draft night (born 1990-03-07).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Kansas.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 2" at 7' 0" tall (+2.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 207 games over 5 NBA seasons (~50% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 5 |
| Games | 207 |
| Minutes / game | 10.0 |
| Points / game | 3.2 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.5 |
| Assists / game | 0.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 6.8 |
| VORP | 1.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.5 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 222 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 2" |
| Age on draft night | 23.3 |
| Born | San Diego, CA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #32 overall (#8 C) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 36 | Ray McCallum | redraft #35 |
| 37 | Tony Mitchell | redraft #40 |
| 38 | Nate Wolters | redraft #37 |
| 40 | Grant Jerrett | redraft #43 |
| 41 | Jamaal Franklin | redraft #49 |
| 42 | Pierre Jackson | redraft #50 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.