Tiago Splitter
PF · 2007 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #28 (SAS)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #17 overall (#5 at his position), but he lasted until pick #28: teams let him slide 11 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.5 years old on draft night (born 1985-01-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Blumenau, Brazil .
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 355 games over 7 NBA seasons (~62% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 7 |
| Games | 355 |
| Minutes / game | 19.2 |
| Points / game | 7.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 5.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 25.3 |
| VORP | 5.4 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.1 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 240 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.5 |
| Born | Blumenau, Brazil |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #17 overall (#5 PF) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 25 | Morris Almond | redraft #48 |
| 26 | Aaron Brooks | redraft #21 |
| 27 | Arron Afflalo | redraft #12 |
| 29 | Alando Tucker | redraft #38 |
| 30 | Petteri Koponen | redraft #50 |
| 31 | Carl Landry | redraft #9 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.