Carl Landry
PF, Purdue · 2007 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #31 (SEA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #20 overall (#7 at his position), but he lasted until pick #31: teams let him slide 11 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.8 years old on draft night (born 1983-09-19).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Purdue.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 513 games over 9 NBA seasons (~70% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 9 |
| Games | 513 |
| Minutes / game | 22.5 |
| Points / game | 10.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.9 |
| Assists / game | 0.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 35.9 |
| VORP | 5.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.3 |
The 2007 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2007 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 248 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.8 |
| Born | Milwauke, WI |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #20 overall (#7 PF) |
Picked around him 2007 redraft
| 28 | Tiago Splitter | redraft #16 |
| 29 | Alando Tucker | redraft #38 |
| 30 | Petteri Koponen | redraft #50 |
| 32 | Gabe Pruitt | redraft #37 |
| 33 | Marcus Williams | redraft #43 |
| 34 | Nick Fazekas | redraft #34 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.