Stephen Curry
PG, Davidson · 2009 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #7 (GSW)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #5 (#4 at his position), close to where he went (#7).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.3 years old on draft night (born 1988-03-14).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Davidson.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 1071 games over 18 NBA seasons (~73% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 18 |
| Games | 1071 |
| Minutes / game | 33.9 |
| Points / game | 24.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.6 |
| Assists / game | 6.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 147.4 |
| VORP | 77.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 6.4 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 3", 181 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.3 |
| Born | Charlotte, N.C. |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #5 overall (#4 PG) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 4 | Tyreke Evans | redraft #13 |
| 5 | Ricky Rubio | redraft #11 |
| 6 | Jonny Flynn | redraft #49 |
| 8 | Jordan Hill | redraft #29 |
| 9 | DeMar DeRozan | redraft #3 |
| 10 | Brandon Jennings | redraft #14 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.