Ronnie Brewer
SG, Arkansas · 2006 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #14 (UTA)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #7 (#2 at his position), close to where he went (#14).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.3 years old on draft night (born 1985-03-20).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Arkansas.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 502 games over 8 NBA seasons (~77% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 8 |
| Games | 502 |
| Minutes / game | 23.0 |
| Points / game | 7.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.8 |
| Assists / game | 1.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 30.4 |
| VORP | 10.6 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.6 |
The 2006 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2006 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 220 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.3 |
| Born | Fayetteville, AR |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #7 overall (#2 SG) |
Picked around him 2006 redraft
| 11 | JJ Redick | redraft #6 |
| 12 | Hilton Armstrong | redraft #28 |
| 13 | Thabo Sefolosha | redraft #8 |
| 15 | Cedric Simmons | redraft #41 |
| 16 | Rodney Carney | redraft #24 |
| 17 | Shawne Williams | redraft #25 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.