Ognjen Kuzmić
C · 2012 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #52 (GSW)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #104 (#16 at his position); he went #52, 52 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.1 years old on draft night (born 1990-05-16).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 37 games over 2 NBA seasons (~23% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 37 |
| Minutes / game | 4.4 |
| Points / game | 0.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.0 |
| Assists / game | 0.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.2 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -5.6 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 240 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.1 |
| Born | 1990-05-16 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #104 overall (#16 C) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 49 | Kyle O'Quinn | redraft #14 |
| 50 | İzzet Türkyılmaz | redraft #57 |
| 51 | Kris Joseph | redraft #48 |
| 53 | Furkan Aldemir | redraft #39 |
| 54 | Tornike Shengelia | redraft #49 |
| 55 | Darius Johnson-Odom | redraft #51 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.