Kris Joseph
SF, Syracuse · 2012 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #51 (BOS)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #72 (#19 at his position); he went #51, 21 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 10 games over 1 NBA season (~12% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
23.5 years old on draft night (born 1988-12-17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Syracuse.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 11" at 6' 7" tall (+4.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 10 |
| Minutes / game | 5.4 |
| Points / game | 0.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.7 |
| Assists / game | 0.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.1 |
| VORP | -0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -9.9 |
The 2012 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2012 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 215 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 11" |
| Age on draft night | 23.5 |
| Born | Montreal, Canada |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #72 overall (#19 SF) |
Picked around him 2012 redraft
| 48 | Kostas Papanikolaou | redraft #42 |
| 49 | Kyle O'Quinn | redraft #14 |
| 50 | İzzet Türkyılmaz | redraft #57 |
| 52 | Ognjen Kuzmić | redraft #45 |
| 53 | Furkan Aldemir | redraft #39 |
| 54 | Tornike Shengelia | redraft #49 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.