Nick Calathes
PG, Florida · 2009 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #45 (MIN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #40 (#14 at his position), close to where he went (#45).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.4 years old on draft night (born 1989-02-07).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Florida.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 129 games over 2 NBA seasons (~79% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 2 |
| Games | 129 |
| Minutes / game | 15.6 |
| Points / game | 4.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.9 |
| Assists / game | 2.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 2.6 |
| VORP | 0.8 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.5 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 185 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 20.4 |
| Born | Winter Park, Fla. |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #40 overall (#14 PG) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 42 | Patrick Beverley | redraft #12 |
| 43 | Marcus Thornton | redraft #19 |
| 44 | Chase Budinger | redraft #26 |
| 46 | Danny Green | redraft #6 |
| 47 | Henk Norel | redraft #52 |
| 48 | Taylor Griffin | redraft #50 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.