Chase Budinger
SG, Arizona · 2009 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #44 (DET)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #24 overall (#4 at his position), but he lasted until pick #44: teams let him slide 20 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.5 years old on draft night (born 1987-12-31).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Arizona.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 407 games over 7 NBA seasons (~71% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 7 |
| Games | 407 |
| Minutes / game | 19.7 |
| Points / game | 7.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 13.9 |
| VORP | 2.9 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -0.5 |
The 2009 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2009 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 206 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 21.5 |
| Born | Carlsbad, Calif. |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #24 overall (#4 SG) |
Picked around him 2009 redraft
| 41 | Jodie Meeks | redraft #18 |
| 42 | Patrick Beverley | redraft #12 |
| 43 | Marcus Thornton | redraft #19 |
| 45 | Nick Calathes | redraft #37 |
| 46 | Danny Green | redraft #6 |
| 47 | Henk Norel | redraft #52 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.