Nemanja Nedović
SG · 2013 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #30 (PHO)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, path to the draft, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #52 (#12 at his position); he went #30, 22 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Belgrade, Serbia.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 24 games over 1 NBA season (~29% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
22.0 years old on draft night (born 1991-06-16).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 7" at 6' 4" tall (+3.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 24 |
| Minutes / game | 5.9 |
| Points / game | 1.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.6 |
| Assists / game | 0.5 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.4 |
| VORP | -0.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -10.0 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 4", 200 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 7" |
| Age on draft night | 22.0 |
| Born | Belgrade, Serbia |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #52 overall (#12 SG) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 27 | Rudy Gobert | redraft #2 |
| 28 | Livio Jean-Charles | redraft #52 |
| 29 | Archie Goodwin | redraft #36 |
| 31 | Allen Crabbe | redraft #22 |
| 32 | Álex Abrines | redraft #31 |
| 33 | Carrick Felix | redraft #51 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.