Allen Crabbe
SG, California · 2013 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #31 (CLE)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #28 (#8 at his position), close to where he went (#31).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.2 years old on draft night (born 1992-04-04).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at California.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 11.25" at 6' 6" tall (+5.3 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 381 games over 7 NBA seasons (~66% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 7 |
| Games | 381 |
| Minutes / game | 24.0 |
| Points / game | 9.1 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.8 |
| Assists / game | 1.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | 13.7 |
| VORP | 0.9 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -1.6 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 6", 197 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 11.25" |
| Age on draft night | 21.2 |
| Born | Los Angeles, CA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #28 overall (#8 SG) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 28 | Livio Jean-Charles | redraft #52 |
| 29 | Archie Goodwin | redraft #36 |
| 30 | Nemanja Nedović | redraft #47 |
| 32 | Álex Abrines | redraft #31 |
| 33 | Carrick Felix | redraft #51 |
| 34 | Isaiah Canaan | redraft #33 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.