Archie Goodwin
SG, Kentucky · 2013 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #29 (OKC)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 165 games over 4 NBA seasons (~50% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #37 (#11 at his position), close to where he went (#29).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
18.9 years old on draft night (born 1994-08-17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Kentucky.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 9.5" at 6' 5" tall (+4.5 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 4 |
| Games | 165 |
| Minutes / game | 14.5 |
| Points / game | 6.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 1.1 |
| VORP | -0.6 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -3.0 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age Under 20 | 51.7% n=300 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 5", 189 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 9.5" |
| Age on draft night | 18.9 |
| Born | Little Rock, Arkansas |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #37 overall (#11 SG) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 26 | Andre Roberson | redraft #20 |
| 27 | Rudy Gobert | redraft #2 |
| 28 | Livio Jean-Charles | redraft #52 |
| 30 | Nemanja Nedović | redraft #47 |
| 31 | Allen Crabbe | redraft #22 |
| 32 | Álex Abrines | redraft #31 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.