Michael Gbinije
SF, Syracuse · 2016 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #49 (DET)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 9 games over 1 NBA season (~11% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #53 (#11 at his position), close to where he went (#49).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
24.1 years old on draft night (born 1992-06-05).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Syracuse.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 8" at 6' 7" tall (+1.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 9 |
| Minutes / game | 3.6 |
| Points / game | 0.4 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.3 |
| Assists / game | 0.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.1 |
| VORP | -0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -12.1 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 205 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 8" |
| Age on draft night | 24.1 |
| Born | Richmond, VA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #53 overall (#11 SF) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 46 | A.J. Hammons | redraft #44 |
| 47 | Jake Layman | redraft #29 |
| 48 | Paul Zipser | redraft #42 |
| 50 | Georges Niang | redraft #15 |
| 51 | Ben Bentil | redraft #51 |
| 52 | Joel Bolomboy | redraft #38 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.