Jake Layman
SF, Maryland · 2016 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #47 (ORL)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length. Details below.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 9" at 6' 9" tall (+0.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #48 (#8 at his position), close to where he went (#47).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.3 years old on draft night (born 1994-03-07).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Maryland.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 243 games over 6 NBA seasons (~49% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numberslive
| Seasons | 6 |
| Games | 243 |
| Minutes / game | 12.8 |
| Points / game | 4.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 1.7 |
| Assists / game | 0.5 |
| Win Shares (career) | 3.8 |
| VORP | -0.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.3 |
Career Win Shares + VORP (Basketball-Reference, through 2025-26) + 2026-27 estimates from ESPN season stats.
The 2016 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2016 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 209 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 9" |
| Age on draft night | 22.3 |
| Born | Wrentham, MA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #48 overall (#8 SF) |
Picked around him 2016 redraft
| 44 | Isaïa Cordinier | redraft #58 |
| 45 | Demetrius Jackson | redraft #37 |
| 46 | A.J. Hammons | redraft #44 |
| 48 | Paul Zipser | redraft #42 |
| 49 | Michael Gbinije | redraft #49 |
| 50 | Georges Niang | redraft #15 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.