Luke Babbitt
SF, Nevada · 2010 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #16 (MIN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a risk: his profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #16 (#5 at his position), close to where he went (#16).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
21.1 years old on draft night (born 1989-06-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 47.6% of the time (286 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Nevada.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 11" at 6' 9" tall (+2.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 381 games over 8 NBA seasons (~58% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 8 |
| Games | 381 |
| Minutes / game | 14.0 |
| Points / game | 4.8 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.2 |
| Assists / game | 0.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 7.2 |
| VORP | -0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.1 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 21 | 47.6% n=286 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 214 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 11" |
| Age on draft night | 21.1 |
| Born | Reno, NV |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #16 overall (#5 SF) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 13 | Ed Davis | redraft #9 |
| 14 | Patrick Patterson | redraft #10 |
| 15 | Larry Sanders | redraft #21 |
| 17 | Kevin Séraphin | redraft #27 |
| 18 | Eric Bledsoe | redraft #6 |
| 19 | Avery Bradley | redraft #16 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.