Kevin Séraphin
PF · 2010 NBA Draft, 1st round, pick #17 (CHI)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: path to the draft. Details below.
- Path to the draft
International prospect, born in Cayenne, French Guyana.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 41.7% of the time (151 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #21 (#6 at his position), close to where he went (#17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.6 years old on draft night (born 1989-12-07).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 3" at 6' 10" tall (+5.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 423 games over 7 NBA seasons (~74% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 7 |
| Games | 423 |
| Minutes / game | 15.2 |
| Points / game | 5.9 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.5 |
| Assists / game | 0.6 |
| Win Shares (career) | 5.9 |
| VORP | -3.6 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -4.3 |
The 2010 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2010 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Path to the draft International | 41.7% n=151 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 258 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 3" |
| Age on draft night | 20.6 |
| Born | Cayenne, French Guyana |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #21 overall (#6 PF) |
Picked around him 2010 redraft
| 14 | Patrick Patterson | redraft #10 |
| 15 | Larry Sanders | redraft #21 |
| 16 | Luke Babbitt | redraft #26 |
| 18 | Eric Bledsoe | redraft #6 |
| 19 | Avery Bradley | redraft #16 |
| 20 | James Anderson | redraft #28 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.