Kyle Korver
SG, Creighton · 2003 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #51 (NJN)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #33 overall (#9 at his position), but he lasted until pick #51: teams let him slide 18 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 1232 games over 17 NBA seasons (~88% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
22.3 years old on draft night (born 1981-03-17).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Creighton.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SG (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.9% of the time (499 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 17 |
| Games | 1232 |
| Minutes / game | 25.3 |
| Points / game | 9.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.0 |
| Assists / game | 1.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 73.4 |
| VORP | 20.7 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 0.6 |
The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Guard | 48.9% n=499 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 7", 210 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 22.3 |
| Born | 1981-03-17 |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #33 overall (#9 SG) |
Picked around him 2003 redraft
| 48 | James Lang | redraft #40 |
| 49 | James Jones | redraft #18 |
| 50 | Paccelis Morlende | redraft #53 |
| 52 | Remon van de Hare | redraft #54 |
| 53 | Tommy Smith | redraft #55 |
| 54 | Nedžad Sinanović | redraft #56 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.