James Lang

C · 2003 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #48 (NOH)

Drafted#48NOH · 2003
Redraft rank#40of 58 picks
Typical redraft rank for pick #48~#432000–2021 median
VerdictBeat his slot · +3spots vs. typical

Why he was overlooked Patterns

Nothing in our pre-draft data flagged him as a steal: his age, school, testing and position profile looked like a typical pick in his range. The gap opened after the draft, on the field.

  • Pre-draft rankings

    ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #58 (#5 at his position); he went #48, 10 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Age

    19.7 years old on draft night (born 1983-10-17).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.7% of the time (300 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Position

    C (ESPN draft listing).

    Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.

  • Availability

    Played 11 games over 1 NBA season (~13% of a full 82-game schedule each year).

Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.

Career numbers

Seasons1
Games11
Minutes / game5.0
Points / game1.0
Rebounds / game1.0
Assists / game0.2
Win Shares (career)0.1
VORP-0.1
Box Plus/Minus-6.4

The 2003 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft

11151530304545Draft pick →Redraft rank (best at top)LeBron James: pick 1 → redraft 1Darko Miličić: pick 2 → redraft 32Carmelo Anthony: pick 3 → redraft 3Chris Bosh: pick 4 → redraft 4Dwyane Wade: pick 5 → redraft 2Chris Kaman: pick 6 → redraft 20Kirk Hinrich: pick 7 → redraft 8T.J. Ford: pick 8 → redraft 22Mike Sweetney: pick 9 → redraft 31Jarvis Hayes: pick 10 → redraft 29Mickaël Piétrus: pick 11 → redraft 21Nick Collison: pick 12 → redraft 14Marcus Banks: pick 13 → redraft 34Luke Ridnour: pick 14 → redraft 15Reece Gaines: pick 15 → redraft 44Troy Bell: pick 16 → redraft 43Žarko Čabarkapa: pick 17 → redraft 36David West: pick 18 → redraft 5Sasha Pavlović: pick 19 → redraft 33Dahntay Jones: pick 20 → redraft 30Boris Diaw: pick 21 → redraft 7Zoran Planinić: pick 22 → redraft 35Travis Outlaw: pick 23 → redraft 24Brian Cook: pick 24 → redraft 27Carlos Delfino: pick 25 → redraft 17Ndudi Ebi: pick 26 → redraft 39Kendrick Perkins: pick 27 → redraft 19Leandro Barbosa: pick 28 → redraft 13Josh Howard: pick 29 → redraft 12Maciej Lampe: pick 30 → redraft 41Jason Kapono: pick 31 → redraft 28Luke Walton: pick 32 → redraft 25Jerome Beasley: pick 33 → redraft 45Sofoklis Schortsanitis: pick 34 → redraft 48Szymon Szewczyk: pick 35 → redraft 49Mario Austin: pick 36 → redraft 50Travis Hansen: pick 37 → redraft 38Steve Blake: pick 38 → redraft 16Slavko Vraneš: pick 39 → redraft 47Derrick Zimmerman: pick 40 → redraft 46Willie Green: pick 41 → redraft 26Zaza Pachulia: pick 42 → redraft 9Keith Bogans: pick 43 → redraft 23Malick Badiane: pick 44 → redraft 51Matt Bonner: pick 45 → redraft 11Sani Bečirovič: pick 46 → redraft 52Mo Williams: pick 47 → redraft 10James Jones: pick 49 → redraft 18Paccelis Morlende: pick 50 → redraft 53Kyle Korver: pick 51 → redraft 6Remon van de Hare: pick 52 → redraft 54Tommy Smith: pick 53 → redraft 55Nedžad Sinanović: pick 54 → redraft 56Rick Rickert: pick 55 → redraft 57Brandon Hunter: pick 56 → redraft 37Xue Yuyang: pick 57 → redraft 58Andreas Glyniadakis: pick 58 → redraft 42

Each dot is a 2003 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.

How players like him did

Pre-draft rankings
Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank
33.8%
n=272
Age
Under 20
51.7%
n=300
Position
Center
51.1%
n=182

Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.

Measurables & pre-draft

Height / weight6' 10", 305 lbs
Age on draft night19.7
Born1983-10-17
ESPN pre-draft rank#58 overall (#5 C)

Picked around him 2003 redraft

45Matt Bonnerredraft #11
46Sani Bečirovičredraft #52
47Mo Williamsredraft #10
49James Jonesredraft #18
50Paccelis Morlenderedraft #53
51Kyle Korverredraft #6

How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.