Jordan Williams
C, Maryland · 2011 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #36 (NJN)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: pre-draft rankings, availability. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #48 (#6 at his position); he went #36, 12 spots earlier. Teams were higher on him than the media board was.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 43 games over 1 NBA season (~52% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Age
20.7 years old on draft night (born 1990-10-11).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Maryland.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 0" at 6' 9" tall (+3.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.2% of the time (217 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 43 |
| Minutes / game | 14.8 |
| Points / game | 4.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 3.6 |
| Assists / game | 0.3 |
| Win Shares (career) | 1.3 |
| VORP | 0.0 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -2.1 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Length +2 to +5 in. | 50.2% n=217 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 9", 247 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 0" |
| Age on draft night | 20.7 |
| Born | Torrington, CT |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #48 overall (#6 C) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 33 | Kyle Singler | redraft #30 |
| 34 | Shelvin Mack | redraft #29 |
| 35 | Tyler Honeycutt | redraft #47 |
| 37 | Trey Thompkins | redraft #53 |
| 38 | Chandler Parsons | redraft #14 |
| 39 | Jeremy Tyler | redraft #44 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.