Jeremy Tyler
PF · 2011 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #39 (CHA)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Played 104 games over 3 NBA seasons (~42% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #41 (#12 at his position), close to where he went (#39).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.8% of the time (765 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
20.1 years old on draft night (born 1991-06-01).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 50.4% of the time (246 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
No college; born in San Diego, CA.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 55.6% of the time (9 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 7' 5" at 6' 11" tall (+6.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (135 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 3 |
| Games | 104 |
| Minutes / game | 9.9 |
| Points / game | 3.6 |
| Rebounds / game | 2.6 |
| Assists / game | 0.2 |
| Win Shares (career) | 0.3 |
| VORP | -1.3 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -7.0 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Within 10 picks of ESPN's rank | 51.8% n=765 | |
| Age 20 | 50.4% n=246 | |
| Path to the draft No college (HS / G League / other) | 55.6% n=9 | |
| Length +5 in. or more | 51.1% n=135 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 11", 263 lbs |
| Wingspan | 7' 5" |
| Age on draft night | 20.1 |
| Born | San Diego, CA |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #41 overall (#12 PF) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 36 | Jordan Williams | redraft #40 |
| 37 | Trey Thompkins | redraft #53 |
| 38 | Chandler Parsons | redraft #14 |
| 40 | Jon Leuer | redraft #23 |
| 41 | Darius Morris | redraft #48 |
| 42 | Dāvis Bertāns | redraft #22 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.