Chandler Parsons
SF, Florida · 2011 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #38 (HOU)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: pre-draft rankings, length. Details below.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #27 overall (#6 at his position), but he lasted until pick #38: teams let him slide 11 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 10" at 6' 10" tall (+0.0 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.7 years old on draft night (born 1988-10-25).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Florida.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
SF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 440 games over 9 NBA seasons (~60% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 9 |
| Games | 440 |
| Minutes / game | 30.1 |
| Points / game | 12.7 |
| Rebounds / game | 4.5 |
| Assists / game | 2.7 |
| Win Shares (career) | 28.9 |
| VORP | 10.2 |
| Box Plus/Minus | 1.1 |
The 2011 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2011 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 221 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 10" |
| Age on draft night | 22.7 |
| Born | Casselberry, FL |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #27 overall (#6 SF) |
Picked around him 2011 redraft
| 35 | Tyler Honeycutt | redraft #47 |
| 36 | Jordan Williams | redraft #40 |
| 37 | Trey Thompkins | redraft #53 |
| 39 | Jeremy Tyler | redraft #44 |
| 40 | Jon Leuer | redraft #23 |
| 41 | Darius Morris | redraft #48 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.