Jason Jennings
C, Arkansas State University · 2002 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #43 (POR)
Why he went too high Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being overvalued: availability. Details below.
- Availability
Never played an NBA game.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #4 overall (#9 at his position), but he lasted until pick #43: teams let him slide 39 spots past that ranking.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 68.6% of the time (194 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
23.2 years old on draft night (born 1979-04-18).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 48.6% of the time (138 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Arkansas State University.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
C (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.1% of the time (182 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a bust for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 0 |
| Games | 0 |
The 2002 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2002 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Pre-draft rankings Slid 10+ picks past ESPN's rank | 68.6% n=194 | |
| Age 23 or older | 48.6% n=138 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Center | 51.1% n=182 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 7' 0", 250 lbs |
| Age on draft night | 23.2 |
| Born | Bald Knob, AK |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #4 overall (#9 C) |
Picked around him 2002 redraft
| 40 | Juan Carlos Navarro | redraft #31 |
| 41 | Mario Kasun | redraft #36 |
| 42 | Ronald Murray | redraft #21 |
| 44 | Lonny Baxter | redraft #27 |
| 45 | Sam Clancy | redraft #53 |
| 46 | Matt Barnes | redraft #8 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.