Erik Murphy
PF, Florida · 2013 NBA Draft, 2nd round, pick #49 (CHI)
Why he was overlooked Patterns
Signals in our data that pointed to him being undervalued: length. Details below.
- Length
Wingspan 6' 10.5" at 6' 10" tall (+0.5 in.), per ESPN's draft profile.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 56.2% of the time (73 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Pre-draft rankings
ESPN's pre-draft board ranked him #59 (#13 at his position); he went #49, 10 spots earlier. So teams were actually higher on him than the media board was; everyone underrated him.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 33.8% of the time (272 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Age
22.7 years old on draft night (born 1990-10-26).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.9% of the time (339 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Path to the draft
Played college basketball at Florida.
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 53.2% of the time (1,015 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Position
PF (ESPN draft listing).
Since 2000, picks in this group beat their draft slot 51.2% of the time (570 players, 2000–2021 classes) vs. 50% for a typical pick.
- Availability
Played 24 games over 1 NBA season (~29% of a full 82-game schedule each year).
Every line comes from data: Basketball-Reference career data; ESPN's draft profile; Wikidata birth dates. No scouting reports or quotes. Green = pointed toward a steal for him.
Career numbers
| Seasons | 1 |
| Games | 24 |
| Minutes / game | 2.6 |
| Points / game | 0.3 |
| Rebounds / game | 0.3 |
| Assists / game | 0.1 |
| Win Shares (career) | -0.1 |
| VORP | -0.1 |
| Box Plus/Minus | -8.6 |
The 2013 class: draft pick vs. redraft rank Full redraft
Each dot is a 2013 pick. Dashed line = typical redraft rank for each slot (2000–2021 classes). Above the line = beat his slot.
How players like him did
| Length Under +2 in. | 56.2% n=73 | |
| Pre-draft rankings Taken 10+ picks before ESPN's rank | 33.8% n=272 | |
| Age 22 | 51.9% n=339 | |
| Path to the draft US college | 53.2% n=1,015 | |
| Position Forward | 51.2% n=570 |
Share of 2000–2021 picks with the same trait who beat their draft slot. Line = 50%.
Measurables & pre-draft
| Height / weight | 6' 10", 240 lbs |
| Wingspan | 6' 10.5" |
| Age on draft night | 22.7 |
| Born | South Kingstown, RI |
| ESPN pre-draft rank | #59 overall (#13 PF) |
Picked around him 2013 redraft
| 46 | Erick Green | redraft #41 |
| 47 | Raul Neto | redraft #23 |
| 48 | Ryan Kelly | redraft #34 |
| 50 | James Ennis III | redraft #19 |
| 51 | Romero Osby | redraft #54 |
| 52 | Lorenzo Brown | redraft #44 |
How verdicts and reasons are computed: methodology. Steal / bust = 15+ spots better / worse than the typical redraft rank for the slot.